Archive for the ‘management’ Category

The ECB's exchange Greek bonds

Friday, February 17th, 2012

The Institution is currently share 45 to 50,000,000,000 euros of securities with central banks in the euro area. The capital gain would benefit Greece Exchange of avoiding its obligations to the ECB to bring within the scope of a Greek law that provides for requiring all creditors to waive a portion of their assets.

The European Central Bank has submitted to a vote Thursday its Governors an exchange transaction Greek bonds in its possession against new titles. The ECB refused to comment on the subject. However, according to German daily Die Welt, the swap would have been endorsed. It would be ongoing and should be completed no later than Monday.  

The exchange of its obligations – practiced with the central banks of the Eurosystem – the ECB avoids putting himself under the blow of a law in preparation for Athens plans to require all its creditors to forego some of their Greek assets.

It will also potentially to the institution to realize capital gains. Indeed, the exchange would be based on the nominal value of shares – estimated at 45 to 50 billion euros, while the ECB has purchased the cheapest on the market in 2010, supposedly at a discount of 70% 80%. The added value thus generated would be redistributed to countries in the euro area, and could ultimately benefit to Greece.

According to AFP, the President of the German Central Bank (Bundesbank) Jens Weidmann voted against the project. For Mr. Weidmann, in doing so, the ECB "is liable to a complaint of private creditors" of Greece, who will themselves forced to take a loss. In addition, it considers that this may cause a lack of investor confidence to the whole euro area, for fear that such an initiative is also taken for other obligations in possession of the ECB.

The institution also bought these last months of the Portuguese debt, Irish, Spanish and Italian under its repurchase of debt of troubled countries on the secondary market. Private creditors of Greece agreed to a deletion of 100 billion Greek debt to help the country recover its finances. A plan to which the ECB has always refused to take part. But the pressure has made important recent weeks to consent to an act while the voluntary contribution of private creditors may be insufficient.  

Last week, the ECB president Mario Draghi had suggested that the ECB was ready to redistribute the profits it could realize on such obligations to members of the euro area, but that in no circumstances consent to losses .

Greece must stop being "a bottomless pit," says Schäuble

Sunday, February 12th, 2012

Greece, whose liabilities are too often remained a dead letter, should cease to be a "bottomless pit," said the German finance minister in an interview published by the Welt am Sonntag, few hours before a crucial vote in Athens on the austerity measures demanded by international donors.

"The promises of Greece are no longer sufficient for us", said Wolfgang Schaeuble. Referring to the new austerity plan in which the Greek deputies must vote this Sunday, he stressed that the previous were not implemented in full ;.

Citing polls, the minister stressed that the Germans are largely in favor of an international aid to Greece. "But it's important to say that it can be a bottomless pit. This is why the Greeks will finally have to clog the well. Then we can put something. At least people are now beginning to ; realize that it will not work with a bottomless pit

. "Greece must do its homework to become competitive, it requires a new rescue plan or some other way that we do not want to (…) "he says referring to an output of the euro area

… …… Asked if such an outcome is possible, Wolfgang Schäuble responds: "Everything is in the hands of the Greeks themselves. But even in that event, on which no table, they remain an integral part of Europe "

." We are pleased to offer our assistance, but we should not give others the impression that they have not done enough. Each state is responsible for itself, "said he, judging the rescue of Greece harder than German reunification

…… And … the minister added: "The Greeks are a special case (…) The Portuguese Government did a good job."

Europe will be again at the center of attention on Wall Street

Sunday, February 5th, 2012

Europe should again be the focus of attention of stakeholders on Wall Street next week, which will be low in U.S. macroeconomic indicators and marking the end of the first half the "earnings season".

Stimulated by the employment figures for the month of January in the U.S., well above expectations, Wall Street has ended sharply higher Friday. Since the beginning of the year, the S & P 500 benchmark index fund managers, was up nearly 7%.

Statistics menu in the coming week does appear that, in essence, the weekly jobless claims (Thursday) and the Index Thomson Reuters-University of Michigan measure of consumer confidence (Friday).

The former are expected up slightly and the second slightly lower, indicating that caution is about the evolution of the U.S. economy, which has yet shown tangible signs of improvement.

"This is the traditional game of tennis. Last week it was the U.S., tomorrow in Europe again, "said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading ……

… "Normally in these situations without macroeconomic news, the trend is up," he added, noting that Europe could come upset this scenario

. Finance ministers of the euro area to Greece said on Saturday they could not give the green light to restructure its debt held by the private sector in the absence of guarantees on the measures considered necessary for the granting of a second international aid plan. 

The ministers hoped to meet Monday to finalize the second aid package of 130 billion euros to be implemented by mid-March to avoid a bankruptcy of Public Accounts but the appointment was postponed because of reluctance to engage in Athens in favor of the reforms demanded. The meeting was replaced by a conference call.

"There is always an element of chance when we adopt a strategy on the Brink – which is the case here (…)," noted Paul Mendelsohn, Investment Officer at Windham Financial Services.

The rate of quarterly results announcements will slow this week, with the program Walt Disney, Coca-Cola, Cisco or NYSE Euronext.

Of the 283 components of the S & P 500 that have already published their figures, 60% reported better than expected data, which is a lower rate than that observed ; in prior quarters.

Portugal does not need to restructure its debt, said Coelho

Friday, February 3rd, 2012

Portugal has no need to re-negotiate or seek a new assistance would be in addition to his rescue of 78 billion euros, said Prime Minister Pedro Passos Coelho in an interview published Friday.

The country in line with the objectives of the bailout of the European Union and there is no reason that it seeks to renegotiate its debts, said the head of government to weekly Sol.

"We adhere to the objectives, budget deficits are being corrected, the deficit is being corrected, structural reforms going well, privatization has started successfully, then why should we restructure our debt? " Pedro Passos Coelho said. 

The Portuguese sovereign bond yields jumped in January to levels not seen since the creation of the euro, raising fears that some economists to Lisbon will be forced to follow the path of the Gre this and ask for another rescue or restructure its debt.

On several occasions, the Portuguese government has ruled out such scenarios and this week, bond yields fell sharply.

Friday at 1115 GMT, the yield on Portuguese bonds was part of 10 years, however, 14.84%, more than double the 7% threshold regarded as untenable.

The pressure on the secondary bond market is "circumstantial" and should diminish as the country meets its economic objectives, believes the Prime Minister. 

With the economic results achieved so far, "there is no reason to think that we need a new plan to help and we are ready to return the debt market as planned, "he adds.

According to his rescue, Portugal should start issuing debt in the medium and long-term bond markets in the second half of 2013.

The country, whose austerity was plunged into a deep recession, must reduce its budget deficit to 4.5% of its gross domestic product (GDP ), after 5.9% in 2011 – a goal that was achieved through an exceptional transfer pension funds to state banks.

Monday, November 28th, 2011

The increase in unemployment, which should soon graze or exceed 10% of the French working population, may play a major role in the campaign for the 2012 presidential election.

The figures for October, announced on Monday at 18:00, will be bad, has already announced the Minister of Labour and Employment, Xavier Bertrand, bringing the political debate on a major concern of voters.

As bad news never comes alone, the rating agency Moody's said that the worsening financial crisis in the eurozone weighed on the outlook for sovereign debt rating of all European countries."There is instability, uncertainty is very large.

Thursday, November 17th, 2011

The gap between interest rates on ten-year bonds reached 200 basis points between Paris and Berlin. The distrust of investors who fear a contagion of debt to France explains the new record.

The difference between the bond rate at 10 years of Germany and the good-for the same maturity of France reached Thursday morning more than 200 basis points, a record since the inception of the euro area, closer to launch a bond in the Hexagon. Around 10 am, the "spread", or spread, reached 200.6 basis points, or 2.006 percentage points, between Germany and France. The distrust of investors who fear a contagion of European debt, affects a growing number of countries, including those rated triple A, is the best possible rating given by rating agencies.In addition to France, which plans to raise between 6 and 7 billion euros of bonds, including five years, towards 10:50, Spain will also appear before the markets to borrow to 3-4000000000 10h30Le differential rate was also a new level between Spain and Germany. The spread reached 489.50 points and the 10-year rate of the Spanish bond rose to 6.649%, its highest since the inception of the euro area.

Wednesday, November 9th, 2011

Rexel Wednesday confirmed its targets in 2011 and 2013 margin despite the economic uncertainty surrounding the outlook 2012, after a third quarter marked by a 7.5% growth in sales and a 15.2% increase in EBIT.

The world's leading distributor of electrical repeated expects for 2011 an increase of 50 basis points of margin EBITA (earnings before taxes, interest and depreciation), and adjusted basis in which had stood at 5% in 2010.

It also anticipates a net flow of cash before interest and taxes of more than 500 million euros."We remain, however, to 'reduce' because in our view, the new flow is expected to deteriorate."

Asked about next year, Jean-Charles Pauze said during a conference call that it promised to be still uncertain.

"Basically the time has not come to talk about 2012," he said. "We are preparing for both the possibility of growth can be a bit lower, but existing, and we are implementing plans more difficult situation where we can respond to clearly maintain our performance and the increase depending on the situation. "

Among its strategic priorities, Rexel intends to pursue a policy of selective acquisitions, primarily on high growth markets.

Sunday, November 6th, 2011

François Fillon unveiled the details of the anti-crisis measures on Monday after a cabinet meeting. The Prime Minister has already warned that the 2012 budget will be a "more stringent since 1945." Prime Minister Francois Fillon will unveil Monday, November 7 new austerity measures in 2012.

As soon as the page G20 tour, Elysee and government have renewed their efforts in order to complete by Monday a new anti-deficit budget for one of the "more rigorous" since 1945, according to François Fillon, which intends to preserve "at all costs" the "triple A" of France.Details of the measures is likely to be unveiled Monday by the head of government after a cabinet meeting exceptionally postponed that date because of the G20 summit.

On Saturday, President Nicolas Sarkozy has gathered around him, in addition to François Fillon, no less than four heavy government Baroin (Economics), Valérie Pécresse (Budget), Xavier Bertrand (Labour) and Roselyne Bachelot (Solidarity). The latter two were probably invited to this first meeting arbitral panel to the floor on what could become one of the leading measures of the new austerity plan: a second "Day of Solidarity."

Danone recorded a third quarter in line

Tuesday, October 18th, 2011

Danone on Tuesday released a turnover up 5.9% on a comparable third quarter thanks to strong growth in Asia, Latin America and the Africa-Middle East.

The group said he was "confident" for 2012 and reiterated its 2011 objectives, namely an increase in sales on a comparable 6% to 8% and an increase of its current operating margin of about 0, 2 point, always like.

This growth will come from all its activities, but particularly integration synergies of Unimilk, said that Danone still expects to grow its free cash flow consistent with the goal of two billion euros for 2012.

Danone has achieved third quarter sales of 4.805 million euros, against 4808.33 million expected by analysts polled by Reuters writing. Volume growth was 1.5% and 4.4% in value.

The Chief Financial Officer Pierre-Andre Terisse said during a conference call that the dynamics of the fourth quarter should be "fairly close" to that of the third.

The companies expect to increase salaries by 3% in 2012

Sunday, October 2nd, 2011

Only 4% of French companies plan to freeze the salaries of their executives and their workers. They remain very cautious in their hiring intentions. Officers, employees

French companies provide for salary increase budgets (collective and individual) of about 3% in 2012 and are cautious in their hiring intentions with a level back down below 2011, according to a study published Monday Mercer . "Our survey shows forecasts for 2012 growth of about 3% for all occupational categories," the specialist human resources consultancy in its annual survey. He recalled that in 2011 the median increase was 2.5%.

The median rate for 2012 means that half of companies expect an increase of more than 3% and the other half a lower increase.It concerns the overall salary increase budget, an envelope devoted to collective increases applied to all employees and for the individual increases. This estimate is comparable to that given in early September by the firm Aon Hewitt.

Mercer said that in 2012 inflation in the euro area is 1.7%. The firm also points out that companies providing a wage freeze fewer than last year. Only 4% of companies plan to freeze the salaries of their executives and their workers. For other occupations, they are less than 2% want to freeze wages.

Regarding the forecast of recruitment, 65% of companies predict stability of their workforce, 28% higher and 7% lower.These figures show a caution on the part of companies with plans for downsizing down (12% in 2011, 20% in 2010, 29% in 2009), but staff increases also down compared to 2010 ( 28% against 34%). Mercer also noted that the survey was conducted between March and mid-July 2011, it does not take into account the debt crisis in the euro area.

The study was conducted among 329 companies employing 134,000 permanent employees, mostly French subsidiaries of multinational corporations. The panel covers all sectors with a preponderance of the sectors of consumer goods and capital goods and soft goods, also said the firm.