Europe should again be the focus of attention of stakeholders on Wall Street next week, which will be low in U.S. macroeconomic indicators and marking the end of the first half the "earnings season".
Stimulated by the employment figures for the month of January in the U.S., well above expectations, Wall Street has ended sharply higher Friday. Since the beginning of the year, the S & P 500 benchmark index fund managers, was up nearly 7%.
Statistics menu in the coming week does appear that, in essence, the weekly jobless claims (Thursday) and the Index Thomson Reuters-University of Michigan measure of consumer confidence (Friday).
The former are expected up slightly and the second slightly lower, indicating that caution is about the evolution of the U.S. economy, which has yet shown tangible signs of improvement.
"This is the traditional game of tennis. Last week it was the U.S., tomorrow in Europe again, "said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading ……
… "Normally in these situations without macroeconomic news, the trend is up," he added, noting that Europe could come upset this scenario
. Finance ministers of the euro area to Greece said on Saturday they could not give the green light to restructure its debt held by the private sector in the absence of guarantees on the measures considered necessary for the granting of a second international aid plan.
The ministers hoped to meet Monday to finalize the second aid package of 130 billion euros to be implemented by mid-March to avoid a bankruptcy of Public Accounts but the appointment was postponed because of reluctance to engage in Athens in favor of the reforms demanded. The meeting was replaced by a conference call.
"There is always an element of chance when we adopt a strategy on the Brink – which is the case here (…)," noted Paul Mendelsohn, Investment Officer at Windham Financial Services.
The rate of quarterly results announcements will slow this week, with the program Walt Disney, Coca-Cola, Cisco or NYSE Euronext.
Of the 283 components of the S & P 500 that have already published their figures, 60% reported better than expected data, which is a lower rate than that observed ; in prior quarters.