Posts Tagged ‘intensity’

Europe will be again at the center of attention on Wall Street

Sunday, February 5th, 2012

Europe should again be the focus of attention of stakeholders on Wall Street next week, which will be low in U.S. macroeconomic indicators and marking the end of the first half the "earnings season".

Stimulated by the employment figures for the month of January in the U.S., well above expectations, Wall Street has ended sharply higher Friday. Since the beginning of the year, the S & P 500 benchmark index fund managers, was up nearly 7%.

Statistics menu in the coming week does appear that, in essence, the weekly jobless claims (Thursday) and the Index Thomson Reuters-University of Michigan measure of consumer confidence (Friday).

The former are expected up slightly and the second slightly lower, indicating that caution is about the evolution of the U.S. economy, which has yet shown tangible signs of improvement.

"This is the traditional game of tennis. Last week it was the U.S., tomorrow in Europe again, "said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading ……

… "Normally in these situations without macroeconomic news, the trend is up," he added, noting that Europe could come upset this scenario

. Finance ministers of the euro area to Greece said on Saturday they could not give the green light to restructure its debt held by the private sector in the absence of guarantees on the measures considered necessary for the granting of a second international aid plan. 

The ministers hoped to meet Monday to finalize the second aid package of 130 billion euros to be implemented by mid-March to avoid a bankruptcy of Public Accounts but the appointment was postponed because of reluctance to engage in Athens in favor of the reforms demanded. The meeting was replaced by a conference call.

"There is always an element of chance when we adopt a strategy on the Brink – which is the case here (…)," noted Paul Mendelsohn, Investment Officer at Windham Financial Services.

The rate of quarterly results announcements will slow this week, with the program Walt Disney, Coca-Cola, Cisco or NYSE Euronext.

Of the 283 components of the S & P 500 that have already published their figures, 60% reported better than expected data, which is a lower rate than that observed ; in prior quarters.

Wall Street opens up almost 1% drop in Amazon

Wednesday, February 1st, 2012

Wall Street opened up Wednesday after the publication of indicators of growth better than expected from China and Germany and the prospect of a rapid restructuring of the Greek debt. However, investors are still nervous after the release of ADP employment index and disappointing corporate earnings, especially from Amazon. In early trade, the Dow gained 0.86% to 12,741.55 points. The Standard & Poor's, larger is 0.75% to 1322.29 points while the Nasdaq composite advance of 0.55% to 2829.25 points. "The market is well oriented, following the positive indicators from China and Europe, (but) the ADP figures have tarnished the enthusiasm and create a little anxiety before the numbers job creation to be published Friday, "said Mark Luschin, head of investment at Janney Montgomery Scott in Philadelphia. The pace of job creation in the private sector slowed in January in the U.S., after the sharp rise the previous month, according to the ADP monthly survey. The Chinese industry has grown modestly in January when we anticipated a contraction, fueling the hope of avoiding a hard landing in China. In addition, German manufacturing activity returned to growth in January for the first time in four months, according to Markit data. On the level of values, Amazon drop of more than 11%. The first global online retailer said it would announce a loss in the first quarter of 2012, the group continued to invest heavily to develop and implement new business.

Saturday, November 26th, 2011

Negotiators from six Belgian and Dutch-speaking parties have reached an agreement Saturday on the 2012 federal budget, paving the way for settling the political crisis. The deterioration of the country's rating by Standard and Poor's has served as a trigger. Outgoing Prime Minister of Belgium Yves Leterme, the ordinary business since April 2010

Nothing precludes the establishment of a government in Belgium after the agreement reached Saturday between a coalition of six parties French and Flemish on the draft 2012 federal budget. "The king (of the Belgians Albert II) is pleased that agreement has been reached. Accordingly, it instructed the teacher (and leader of the Socialist francophone Elio Di Rupo) to form as soon as possible a government," announced the Royal Palace in a statement.This may increase the debt burden, increasing the confidence of the markets. The daily Le Soir, it is nothing short of an "infernal downward spiral." Especially a further deterioration can not be excluded. "The risk increases as the financial sector is in need of new state aid. This could push the debt ratio of Belgium above 100% of GDP," warned Standard & Poor's. "We must avoid imposing an austerity that would be against blind-productive", called La Libre Belgique, but "we must dare to clean thoroughly, cut, cut wherever possible."

The differences are between socialists and liberals such as Monday approached the prime minister, Elio Di Rupo threw in the towel. King Albert II refused his resignation but it has reinforced the idea that Belgium became a country ungovernable.

Thursday, November 17th, 2011

The gap between interest rates on ten-year bonds reached 200 basis points between Paris and Berlin. The distrust of investors who fear a contagion of debt to France explains the new record.

The difference between the bond rate at 10 years of Germany and the good-for the same maturity of France reached Thursday morning more than 200 basis points, a record since the inception of the euro area, closer to launch a bond in the Hexagon. Around 10 am, the "spread", or spread, reached 200.6 basis points, or 2.006 percentage points, between Germany and France. The distrust of investors who fear a contagion of European debt, affects a growing number of countries, including those rated triple A, is the best possible rating given by rating agencies.In addition to France, which plans to raise between 6 and 7 billion euros of bonds, including five years, towards 10:50, Spain will also appear before the markets to borrow to 3-4000000000 10h30Le differential rate was also a new level between Spain and Germany. The spread reached 489.50 points and the 10-year rate of the Spanish bond rose to 6.649%, its highest since the inception of the euro area.

Wednesday, November 9th, 2011

Rexel Wednesday confirmed its targets in 2011 and 2013 margin despite the economic uncertainty surrounding the outlook 2012, after a third quarter marked by a 7.5% growth in sales and a 15.2% increase in EBIT.

The world's leading distributor of electrical repeated expects for 2011 an increase of 50 basis points of margin EBITA (earnings before taxes, interest and depreciation), and adjusted basis in which had stood at 5% in 2010.

It also anticipates a net flow of cash before interest and taxes of more than 500 million euros."We remain, however, to 'reduce' because in our view, the new flow is expected to deteriorate."

Asked about next year, Jean-Charles Pauze said during a conference call that it promised to be still uncertain.

"Basically the time has not come to talk about 2012," he said. "We are preparing for both the possibility of growth can be a bit lower, but existing, and we are implementing plans more difficult situation where we can respond to clearly maintain our performance and the increase depending on the situation. "

Among its strategic priorities, Rexel intends to pursue a policy of selective acquisitions, primarily on high growth markets.

Saturday, October 29th, 2011

208.55, the S & P 500, followed by most fund managers, was awarded 42.59 points, 3.43% to 1284.59 and the Nasdaq, with high technological weight, gained 3.32% , 87.96 points to 2738.63.

The S & P is now able to carry out its largest monthly increase since January 1987

"With the disappearance potential spectrum of the Apocalypse of the euro, there is a kind of national focus on the fundamentals, which were frankly good for the month," said Phil Orlando, chief strategist at Federated Investors New York City.

However, some analysts are warning against any complacency.

"We have virtually erased all the losses of the summer.

Slovakia can it block the rescue of the euro?

Tuesday, October 11th, 2011

Slovakia is the latest member of the eurozone to vote strengthening of the European financial stability. Part of the coalition threatened not to accept the text. If no vote, there is no "plan B" according Amadeu Altafaj-Tardio, spokesman for the European Commission. Amadeu Altafaj-Tardio, spokesman of the European Commission for Economic Affairs.

The last step seems to be the most difficult to cross to Europe. Slovakia is the 17th and last country in Europe to vote on strengthening the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), and part of the coalition threatened not to accept the text. Without the approval of Bratislava, the plan can not enter into force in accordance Amadeu Altafaj-Tardio, spokesman of the European Commission for Economic Affairs. Interview.

Slovakia Can Europe block?

We hope there will be a positive vote in Bratislava.But if Slovakia did not accept the text, the plan will remain outstanding. And if the vote is negative, the plan falls apart. The EFSF will then remain in its current state but will not have the means to ensure the protection of the euro, as it is supposed to do in its new form.

Ratification does not seem won …

We're not there yet. The Slovak authorities have committed heavily to vote the text. Besides the Prime Minister Iveta Radicova has resigned on the table in case of refusal of the plan by the coalition. Our message was to the Slovak authorities to say that strengthening the EFSF is in their interest. It may be very useful to the country if the crisis in the euro area spreads.

Can you put pressure on Slovakia?

What do you want, the Commission took power in Bratislava? We can not force the country to ratify the plan.This is the responsibility of all political actors. We can not require Member States is in the nature of the European Union. States have decided to vote the text unanimously in 2010 against the advice of the Commission. If we had done by a qualified majority, we would not be here.

This is not the first time that Slovakia played bad students …

We have already had a fantastic story with this government. Parliamentary elections in 2010, Prime Minister of the country – currently in power – has campaigned on his opposition to help countries better off than him. Then, the arrival of Iveta Radicova as Prime Minister, the party decided in June to stop its bilateral loans to Greece in the forefront of support. The decision was taken after the second installment.It is now the sixth …

Part of the coalition claims to be exempt from participating in EFSF (7 billion euros 440 billion in total). Can we modify the agreement to allow Slovakia to vote on the plan?

The agreement was ratified by 16 member states before it, we can not change it for a country. What would the other parliaments have already voted if the text were changed to the Treaty? They could also claim their scpécifiques measures and find that it is unfair to make concessions to one country. Finland has obtained special guarantees with Greece to vote on the text. But these guarantees were part of the bailout.

Markets welcomed the appointment of a new CEO at UBS

Monday, September 26th, 2011

Markets welcomed the appointment of a new general manager for UBS, which will resize the investment bank after the scandal caused by the loss of $ 2.3 billion resulting from unauthorized transactions of one of its traders to London.

By 0830 GMT, the action of UBS, which has already lost more than 34% since January, jumped 2.87% to 10.41 francs after opening down nearly 3%, while the European index banking shares were up 2.78%.

UBS has appointed Sergio Ermotti, responsible for Europe, the Middle East and Africa, to succeed Oswald Grübel, a former trader aged 67 came from Credit Suisse, which had been appointed head of UBS in 2009 to try to correct the bank after its near bankruptcy in 2008.

Speculation flourished after the departure of Oswald Grübel, some citing differences over strategy.

"Oswald Grübel leaves UBS at a difficult time.Not only the new regulations will impact the profitability of investment banking in the future but it is not yet clear whether customers money management retain their confidence in the bank by depositing funds in an atmosphere of shaking due to brokerage and risk control unbearable, "said Michael Rohr at Silvia Quandt Research.

Peter Thorne, an analyst at Helvea, for its part considers that the departure of Oswald Grübel and resizing of the investment bank should be regarded as positive developments.

"Perhaps the only surprise is that Sergio Ermotti was not appointed permanently," he adds.

Sergio Ermotti, including Kaspar Villiger said it could be a good candidate to keep the job permanently, said in a video conference with reporters that UBS would strengthen its controls on risks at group level.

"We expect that Sergio Ermotti accelerates the implementation of a strategy focused on clients in the investment bank, focuses on the efficiency of capital and rapidly improving risk management," said Teresa on his side Nielsen, an analyst at Bank Vontobel.

Resizing DELICATE

"It is a powerful sign that UBS will now focus on money management, with an investment bank in support of these activities," said a fund manager who worked with Oswald Grübel to the bank of Credit Suisse investment.

The departure of Carsten Kengeter, director of investment banking, was also discussed but President Kaspar Villiger has defended him by praising the "excellent work" done to limit losses after the discovery of unauthorized transactions.

"But it is not important because Kaspar Villiger is itself the beginning," has tempered a broker based in Zurich, recalling that Weber should succeed him in April 2013.

"Grübel did not resign, he was pushed out. It might have been better if Casten Kengeter Miscovic and Maureen, the head of risk management, fraud had paid for discovery," said a fund manager UBS.

"We do not share the enthusiasm of investors for the strategic shift," said Dirk Becker at Kepler Capital Markets, for whom such an operation in the investment bank will be difficult because it employs 17,000 people and 135 billion francs in risky assets.

"The loss could also deal a blow to consumer confidence and cause new outflows in money management.We remain cautious, "he added.

Jon Peace at Nomura believes that UBS for its part should be able to succeed at the game "We do not believe the damage the image will result in bleeding, especially in an environment where their peers are affected by other problems sometimes of a judicial nature. "

Lufthansa is lowering its 2011 targets

Tuesday, September 20th, 2011

Lufthansa said Tuesday that the goal of recording an operating profit in 2011 higher than EUR 876 million generated last year no longer seemed attainable.

The German airline said that this adjustment reflects the performance for the month of August, worse than expected.

At 11:10 GMT, Lufthansa yielded 6.81% at 10.06 euros while the European sector index fell by 0.28%.

Rigor: Unions call for mobilization on October 11

Friday, September 2nd, 2011

The terms of this "National Day of Action inter" in protest against the plan anti-government deficit were not arrested. CFDT leader Francois Chereque and the Bernard Thibault of the CGT at the Paris demonstration against pension reform Oct. 2, 2010.

The national inter decided Thursday night to organize Tuesday, October 11 plan a joint response to anti-government deficits, by calling that day "a national day of action interprofessional," but failed to set the terms .

Meeting at the headquarters of the CGT for nearly five hours, trade unions CGT, CFDT, FSU, UNSA and SUD have finally agreed to consider "essential intervention for employees to influence the government, business, parliamentary debates current and future, "said a joint statement.They provide "urgent measures" to take, which are common demands for the October 11. FOR, organizing his own September 20 "Information Day", CFTC and CFE-CGC had declined the invitation to this meeting. The duration of the meeting shows the importance of differences between the components of the Inter on the scope and meaning of this day of action and on its terms.

The CGT, FSU and Partners wish that Nadine Prigent (CGT) has called "a significant day, with strikes, demonstrations, rallies." But the CFDT is against it. "The strike seems to us absolutely the wrong way" in "a very difficult situation for the purchasing power of employees and concerns about their jobs," he told reporters Marcel Grignard, number two of the CFDT. "We must find methods of action most appropriate, most effective.I am confident that we will succeed, "he said.

For Bernadette Groison (FSU), October 11 "should not be a day of testimony." Annick Coupé (Solidarity) held that it was necessary to "build a process of mobilization to stop the policy of austerity." François Joliclerc (UNSA) said on its side that it should "exclude any" form of action on October 11.

Not surprisingly, unions have been very critical of the measures announced a week ago by Prime Minister François Fillon to limit public deficits. These measures should bring 11 billion euros in 2012. "The bill is supported primarily by employees and consumers," while "the contribution of higher income is only symbolic," protested the Inter, who must "restore growth" even if that "control deficits ".

It calls for "urgent measures" of four types: – "abandon the taxation of additional health exemptions and remove the tax exemption of overtime any public aid package to its social and economic efficiency, social policies in companies." – "Implement the tax on financial transactions." – "Make employment, particularly youth, a priority. Halting the loss of jobs in the civil service." – "Support the purchasing power of low income including (…)".